Behavior and Investing
There have been empirical evidences of
behavior influences our life and progress. The same is true for investing
also.
People are not rich and successful
because they are lucky, god gifted or they have legacy. It’s a myth. Look
around and see how many have risen from rugs.
In this series of “Behavior and Investing” I will cover all “thinking
errors” that influences our decisions and therefore our financial life.
First in the series is of 21 is “Social
Proof”
Social Proof commonly known as herd mentality. We usually
walk a path that’s known or referred by others. So true for investing also.
Large part of Indians prefer FDs, post office, Insurance, Pension, PPF and
property. Because that’s what our parents, relatives have done!! We think
little to move from there and explore the other investment vehicles.
Like in anything, comfort is utmost
important for an individual in investing also. Human mind finds comfort in
known. Mind believes more people are
doing it so we should also do it more. That’s what leads to poor returns as
most have got poor returnsJ
Bright example of Social Proof is
Harshad Mehta, Ketan Parekh and Subprime period. Everyone came into party at
last moment and lost heavily. Recently in 2018 also people thought Small &
Midcap are going to give good returns and what it turned out to be 20-25% loss
in portfolios.
HNI and Ultra HNIs preferred AIFs, a
new product positioned for greater Alpha, hasn’t done great as yet. Time will
only tell about their fate.
Rational approach:
1) Think why I should invest now when everyone is
investing. Be it particular stock, MF, Property or Gold.
2) Choose uneasy path of avoiding social
proofing.
3) Do your own research or consult qualified
person
I wonder why people don’t try other
products like MF for investing. When we try a new product, we buy a trial pack and
then decide about using it regularly.
Similarly try out Mutual Funds with as
little as 5-10% of your assets and experience it for yourself. Proof of pudding
is in eatingJ. Try
Mutual fund ka chhota packet.
MF Trivia – Data suggest close to 80% of equity flows come
I when markets are overvalued or at peak. Thus the Investing experience is
poor/subpar.
This article is written by Bhavesh D
Damania founder of Wealthcare Investments.
He can be reached at 9833778887 and
wealthcarein@gmail.com
"Risk comes until you know what, where and why you are Investing"
Yes brother agreed with your findings great keep it up
ReplyDeleteThank you!
ReplyDeleteVery correct. Lack of knowledge but no one likes to be left out leads to herd mentality. Hope your blogs will educate many.
ReplyDeleteThanks for appreciation!! Series of 21 blogs should help people in recognizing biases and overcoming it.
DeleteKeep visiting here.
Agree with u bhavesh and have started doing it. Lot to learn from u going forward.
ReplyDeleteHi, I am glad that you started to implement also. Many other biases will be covered in this series of 21 blogs. Keep reading and sharing your feedback.
ReplyDeleteThank you for your comment.